Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 2.578385 2.937086 3.317929 3.751354 4.229880 4.740986 5.327085
2024-12-29 2.036957 2.555824 3.149403 3.873734 4.728507 5.699748 6.881111
2025-01-05 1.652863 2.262685 3.007968 3.973601 5.178305 6.617784 8.452546
2025-01-12 1.320038 1.961258 2.794268 3.933402 5.425683 7.287492 9.755867
2025-01-19 1.112297 1.778950 2.693151 4.003052 5.791472 8.104250 11.270754
2025-01-26 0.946336 1.622200 2.596752 4.053608 6.117336 8.871425 12.748483
2025-02-02 0.818092 1.496992 2.522648 4.116287 6.449523 9.650934 14.268329
2025-02-09 0.696820 1.361022 2.411666 4.106305 6.666648 10.272548 15.591899
2025-02-16 0.585541 1.221845 2.275696 4.039072 6.785515 10.751122 16.727080
2025-02-23 0.512640 1.136352 2.213062 4.074308 7.051277 11.443326 18.183742
2025-03-02 0.436566 1.031600 2.104234 4.021498 7.171822 11.921106 19.343134
2025-03-09 0.391934 0.979361 2.078584 4.100039 7.497564 12.712305 20.984514
2025-03-16 0.339264 0.903779 2.005703 4.097337 7.701462 13.342665 22.437383
2025-03-23 0.312864 0.879765 2.026039 4.259286 8.186144 14.430226 24.628124
2025-03-30 0.284580 0.846458 2.024411 4.380737 8.608971 15.438575 26.736437
2025-04-06 0.244062 0.776358 1.940927 4.343064 8.755306 16.010761 28.188362
2025-04-13 0.219303 0.739681 1.920745 4.421149 9.104729 16.921857 30.200380
2025-04-20 0.195730 0.701003 1.891151 4.477101 9.415575 17.779331 32.153390
2025-04-27 0.175868 0.667984 1.869470 4.545562 9.750487 18.687010 34.213781
2025-05-04 0.153250 0.621714 1.811733 4.534955 9.937254 19.349905 35.895267
2025-05-11 0.130080 0.567615 1.728138 4.462135 10.000902 19.801947 37.241375
2025-05-18 0.115775 0.537761 1.698623 4.500391 10.275597 20.625423 39.225074
2025-05-25 0.098816 0.494068 1.628415 4.443131 10.360143 21.116678 40.663554